Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 25.733092 29.698298 33.979943 38.935620 44.501655 50.548187 57.601438
2025-02-02 20.713762 26.637703 33.627647 42.424952 53.136824 65.688568 81.435202
2025-02-09 16.566568 23.263140 31.746435 43.146020 57.909368 76.214550 100.435145
2025-02-16 13.490140 20.442580 29.801690 43.088486 61.191746 84.688247 117.124776
2025-02-23 11.123273 18.062990 27.928655 42.630583 63.564744 91.820130 132.250098
2025-03-02 9.351827 16.189845 26.408652 42.317549 65.875677 98.784207 147.361239
2025-03-09 7.941142 14.606641 25.045165 41.966856 67.937558 105.359170 162.157275
2025-03-16 6.360412 12.472433 22.524475 39.513768 66.556091 106.758988 169.498332
2025-03-23 5.768971 11.913454 22.422981 40.781303 70.847694 116.641749 189.649112
2025-03-30 5.339908 11.570318 22.618731 42.507615 75.929943 127.951406 212.477909
2025-04-06 4.569779 10.461742 21.347261 41.616056 76.666189 132.542747 225.244589
2025-04-13 3.786319 9.190344 19.614892 39.719925 75.527919 134.025700 233.149678
2025-04-20 3.607872 9.171498 20.273044 42.275161 82.359966 149.076387 263.951541
2025-04-27 3.554373 9.424984 21.503582 46.035267 91.640593 168.809026 303.569897
2025-05-04 3.190519 8.920959 21.170191 46.811922 95.675387 180.035650 329.895919
2025-05-11 2.798669 8.273749 20.451791 46.750790 98.149386 188.713194 352.389957
2025-05-18 2.427332 7.598344 19.574327 46.259641 99.743537 195.901134 372.659224
2025-05-25 2.119195 7.018131 18.819928 45.923794 101.571161 203.553006 394.043797
2025-06-01 1.850204 6.483222 18.089516 45.547495 103.260601 211.006659 415.391044
2025-06-08 1.490551 5.602264 16.409232 42.914396 100.219997 209.599494 420.915654
2025-06-15 1.388190 5.464664 16.520413 44.275138 105.378801 223.664210 454.854159
2025-06-22 1.317403 5.411205 16.835882 46.127731 111.673570 240.169120 493.926422
2025-06-29 1.131313 4.935773 15.988340 45.171048 111.960433 245.187910 512.048370